ryan has this real numbers guy. this one who knows how this one will go. >> jan crawford, good to see you. republican strategist mike murphy is with us. he helped run mitt romney's successful campaign for governor of massachusetts. you saw jan lay out a number of those poll numbers. what's happening out there especially in the state of ohio where obama had opened up a double digit lead and now it's quite tight. >> after the debate, which was a great opportunity for romney to have an unfiltered communication people are taking a second look at him. all across the country you can debate how much and where. the numbers have lunched in romney's direction. romney has the momentum and i'm not sure big bird will stop him. >> at this point how critical is ohio given the republicans have to win ohio. >> if you can't win ohio, he can. he has to win a couple of states that are harder than ohio, maybe colorado but nevada, iowa and of course wisconsin. >> you got an unemployment rate in ohio well below average. >> he can't run th